SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
37.41% ( -0.58) | 26.37% ( 0.06) | 36.21% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.25) | 51.78% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( -0.21) | 73.55% ( 0.21) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.44) | 26.87% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( -0.59) | 62.18% ( 0.59) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( 0.19) | 27.57% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( 0.24) | 63.09% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.21% |
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