Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 79.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
79.23% ( 0.76) | 12.77% ( -0.41) | 8% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.68% ( 0.83) | 27.31% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.11% ( 1.04) | 47.88% ( -1.05) |
Shanghai Port Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.59% ( 0.29) | 5.4% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.83% ( 0.86) | 21.16% ( -0.87) |
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.48% ( -0.15) | 42.51% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.12% ( -0.13) | 78.87% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 6-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 5.17% Total : 79.23% | 1-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.77% | 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 8% |
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