SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
64.81% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0) | 14.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.02) | 46.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0.01) | 68.45% ( -0.01) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( 0) | 13.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.52% ( 0) | 40.49% ( -0) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.02) | 43.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.17% ( 0.02) | 79.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.77% Total : 64.8% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.64% |
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