Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
