SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Wuhan | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 7 | -10 | 3 |
| 13 | Hebei | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wuhan.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Guangzhou |
48.45% ( -0.22) | 26.8% ( -0.02) | 24.75% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.23) | 57.68% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( 0.18) | 78.44% ( -0.19) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0) | 23.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -0) | 58.08% ( 0) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.35) | 39.03% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.24% ( 0.33) | 75.76% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.75% |
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