Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 7 | -5 | 6 |
12 | Guangzhou | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
Result | ||
Guangzhou | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
11.26% ( 1.1) | 17.94% ( 0.66) | 70.8% ( -1.76) |
Both teams to score 47.5% ( 1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% ( 0.15) | 42.58% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( 0.15) | 64.98% ( -0.15) |
Guangzhou Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.23% ( 2.17) | 46.76% ( -2.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.69% ( 1.61) | 82.31% ( -1.6) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% ( -0.41) | 10.77% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.23% ( -0.92) | 34.77% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Guangzhou | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.26% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.94% | 0-2 @ 12.5% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 5.18% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 0-5 @ 2.31% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.87% Total : 70.79% |
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