SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Dalian Pro | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
70.83% ( 0.33) | 19.42% ( 0.16) | 9.75% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 37.8% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( -1.88) | 52.8% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( -1.63) | 74.43% ( 1.63) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( -0.48) | 13.73% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59% ( -0.96) | 41% ( 0.96) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.81% ( -2.17) | 56.18% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.42% ( -1.3) | 88.58% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.59)3-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.75% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
