Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.