This is a tough one to call as both sides have experience and boast a lot of attacking quality, but in the end, we believe home-field advantage and the recent experience of America in these big spots will propel them to a narrow victory against a strong defensive unit, who have a history of beginning these ties poorly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Club America	Draw	Pachuca
51.52% ( -0.02)	22.93% ( 0.02)	25.55% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.17% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.74% (

-0.06)

41.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35% (

-0.06)

63.66% (

0.06)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.03)

16.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-0.05)

45.53% (

0.05)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.02)

29.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-0.03)

65.46% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Club America 51.52%

Pachuca 25.55%

Draw 22.93%

Club America	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.52%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.55%