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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 24, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
1 - 1
Pachuca

Zendejas (12')
Zendejas (39'), Jardine (40'), Lichnovsky (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Micolta (40')
Rodriguez (48'), Sanchez (58'), Berlanga (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Club America 2-1 Pachuca

This is a tough one to call as both sides have experience and boast a lot of attacking quality, but in the end, we believe home-field advantage and the recent experience of America in these big spots will propel them to a narrow victory against a strong defensive unit, who have a history of beginning these ties poorly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
51.52% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 22.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)41.26% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)63.66% (0.061 0.06)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)16.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)45.53% (0.055 0.05)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)29.46% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club America 51.52%
    Pachuca 25.55%
    Draw 22.93%
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 America
Sunday, April 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 America
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: New England 0-4 America
Wednesday, April 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: America 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 30 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Herediano
Thursday, April 11 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 0-3 Pachuca
Sunday, April 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Herediano 0-5 Pachuca
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX


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