SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
73.01% ( -0.17) | 16.41% ( 0.06) | 10.58% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( 0.02) | 37.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( 0.02) | 59.53% ( -0.03) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.13% ( -0.04) | 8.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.66% ( -0.08) | 30.34% ( 0.08) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.21) | 44.53% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.44% ( 0.17) | 80.55% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.29% Total : 73% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.41% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.58% |
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