SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.74% ( 0.06) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 18.02% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.01) | 38.38% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.34% ( 0.01) | 60.67% ( -0) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.04% ( 0.02) | 11.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.63% ( 0.04) | 37.37% ( -0.03) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( -0.04) | 34.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( -0.04) | 71.43% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.24% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.02% |
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