SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
62.98% ( -0.62) | 20.37% ( 0.02) | 16.64% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( 1.08) | 41.48% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 1.08) | 63.88% ( -1.08) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.43% ( 0.16) | 12.56% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.37% ( 0.32) | 38.63% ( -0.31) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.83% ( 1.41) | 38.16% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% ( 1.33) | 74.93% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.42)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.64% |
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