SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.86% ( -0.22) | 21.62% ( 0.22) | 20.52% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( -1.04) | 40.95% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( -1.08) | 63.34% ( 1.07) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( -0.41) | 13.92% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( -0.81) | 41.36% ( 0.81) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.61) | 33.64% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( -0.67) | 70.29% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.52% |
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