SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | St Louis City |
65.96% ( -0) | 19.25% ( 0) | 14.79% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.99% ( 0) | 40.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0) | 62.37% ( 0) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% | 11.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( 0) | 35.97% ( 0) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.01) | 39.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( 0) | 76.31% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.16% 4-0 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.03% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.25% | 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.79% |
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