Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
