SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
37.76% ( 0.01) | 26.14% ( 0) | 36.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( -0.01) | 50.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( -0) | 72.69% ( 0.01) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0) | 26.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( 0.01) | 61.31% ( -0) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.01) | 27.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( -0.01) | 62.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.09% |
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