SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
56.23% ( 0.06) | 22.66% ( -0.02) | 21.11% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0) | 44.85% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% | 67.21% ( -0) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( 0.02) | 15.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.11% ( 0.04) | 44.89% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( -0.05) | 35.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.96% ( -0.05) | 72.04% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.11% |
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