SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anguilla | Draw | Saint Lucia |
8.15% ( 0) | 13.72% ( 0) | 78.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.01) | 31.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.44% ( -0.02) | 53.56% ( 0.01) |
| Anguilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( -0.01) | 45.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.44% ( -0) | 81.55% ( 0) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.43% ( -0) | 6.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.56% ( -0.01) | 24.44% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anguilla | Draw | Saint Lucia |
| 2-1 @ 2.5% 1-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 8.15% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.4% 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.72% | 0-2 @ 11.14% 0-3 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.91% 0-4 @ 6.89% 1-4 @ 5.38% ( -0)0-5 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.09% 1-5 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 78.12% |
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