SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 85.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 4-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | San Marino |
85.89% ( 31.97) | 9.17% ( -16.09) | 4.93% ( -15.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 6.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.8% ( 34.37) | 21.2% ( -34.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.21% ( 36.95) | 39.79% ( -36.95) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.68% ( 17.31) | 3.31% ( -17.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.39% ( 38.57) | 14.6% ( -38.57) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.14% ( -4.17) | 45.86% ( 4.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.39% ( -3.45) | 81.61% ( 3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Lucia | Draw | San Marino |
| 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 4.37) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -1.89)4-0 @ 8.53% ( 6.31)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 2.88)2-1 @ 6.88% ( -2.5)4-1 @ 6.65% ( 4.7)5-0 @ 5.81% ( 5.11)1-0 @ 5.18% ( -8.39)5-1 @ 4.53% ( 3.92)6-0 @ 3.3% ( 3.12)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.89)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 1.74)6-1 @ 2.57% ( 2.41)5-2 @ 1.77% ( 1.5)7-0 @ 1.61% ( 1.57)7-1 @ 1.25% ( 1.22)6-2 @ 1% ( 0.93)Other @ 4.52% Total : 85.89% | 1-1 @ 4.04% ( -7.83) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -1.42)0-0 @ 1.52% ( -7.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 9.17% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -3.62) 0-1 @ 1.19% ( -6.34)Other @ 2.17% Total : 4.93% |
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