SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Barbados win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Dominican Republic |
18.28% ( -0.31) | 23.37% ( -0.02) | 58.35% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.36) | 51.54% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.32) | 73.33% ( 0.32) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( -0.57) | 42.18% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.41% ( -0.49) | 78.59% ( 0.49) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.02) | 17.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( -0.03) | 47.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.35% |
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