SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Dominican Republic |
64.88% ( 9.71) | 21.36% ( -3.67) | 13.76% ( -6.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.1% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 4.62) | 51.24% ( -4.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 3.9) | 73.08% ( -3.9) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% ( 5.15) | 15.08% ( -5.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.38% ( 8.95) | 43.62% ( -8.95) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( -5.1) | 48.07% ( 5.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.72% ( -4.01) | 83.28% ( 4.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( 1.87)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 2.27)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 1)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 1.51)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.84)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.71)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.44)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.87% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -1.69) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.44)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.48)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -2.03) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -1.28)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -1.16)Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
