SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Montserrat |
34.41% ( 0.01) | 27.07% ( -0) | 38.53% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( 0.01) | 54.75% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( 0.01) | 76.07% ( -0) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.01) | 30.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.01) | 66.27% ( -0.01) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0) | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( 0) | 63.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Montserrat |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.52% |
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