SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Haiti |
27.34% ( -0.15) | 22.21% ( -0.08) | 50.45% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 63.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.27) | 36.28% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( 0.3) | 58.41% ( -0.29) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( 0.05) | 60.4% ( -0.05) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( 0.18) | 14.69% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( 0.34) | 42.86% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Haiti |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.3% Total : 50.45% |
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