SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 76.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Barbados win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Barbados |
76.25% ( -0.7) | 14.75% ( 0.32) | 8.99% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.22) | 34.25% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.85% ( -0.24) | 56.15% ( 0.25) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.57% ( -0.19) | 7.43% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.25% ( -0.5) | 26.75% ( 0.5) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( 0.69) | 45.55% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.63% ( 0.54) | 81.37% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 76.25% | 1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.75% | 1-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.99% |
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