SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 1-3 (5.87%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guyana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Guyana |
30.3% ( -0.02) | 21.77% ( -0.03) | 47.94% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 67.51% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68% ( 0.12) | 32.01% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.43% ( 0.14) | 53.57% ( -0.14) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.05) | 21.53% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.07) | 54.6% ( -0.07) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.06) | 13.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 0.12) | 41.46% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Guyana |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.94% |
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