SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | Bermuda |
34.73% ( -0.56) | 24.49% ( 0.04) | 40.78% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.26) | 43.51% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.26) | 65.91% ( 0.26) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.44) | 24.53% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -0.62) | 59% ( 0.62) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 0.14) | 21.4% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 0.21) | 54.39% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.78% |
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