SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 84.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 5.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Bermuda |
84.97% ( -6.42) | 9.7% ( 3.64) | 5.32% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( 7.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.79% ( -4.38) | 22.21% ( 4.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.81% ( -6.25) | 41.18% ( 6.25) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.39% ( -1.45) | 3.6% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.43% ( -5.15) | 15.57% ( 5.15) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.52% ( 8.29) | 45.47% ( -8.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.69% ( 5.82) | 81.3% ( -5.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Bermuda |
| 3-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.89) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.52)4-0 @ 8.33% ( -2.13)3-1 @ 7.9% ( 1.13)2-1 @ 7.13% ( 1.84)4-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 5.54% ( -2.5)1-0 @ 5.44% ( 1)5-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 1.01)6-0 @ 3.07% ( -2.07)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.57)6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.77)5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.17)7-0 @ 1.46% ( -1.36)7-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.6)6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.18% Total : 84.97% | 1-1 @ 4.29% ( 1.53) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( 1.17)0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.48)Other @ 0.97% Total : 9.7% | 1-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.83) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.57)Other @ 2.34% Total : 5.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
