SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Canada |
21.28% ( 0) | 25.01% ( -0.01) | 53.71% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( 0.03) | 54.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( 0.02) | 75.57% ( -0.02) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( 0.02) | 40.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( 0.02) | 77.01% ( -0.02) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( 0.01) | 20.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( 0.02) | 52.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.28% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.7% |
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