SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Jamaica |
| 62.85% | 22.89% | 14.25% |
| Both teams to score 41.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.07% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.21% | 84.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% 2-0 @ 13.35% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.08% Total : 62.85% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6.02% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.25% |
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