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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK
 
CN

Panama
1 - 0
Canada

Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Canada vs. Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 0-0 Canada

Goals are at a premium when these sides face off in Panama, with six of those meetings ending in a 0-0 draw. Even though the Canadians can improve their chances of a good World Cup draw with a victory, the most important thing for this group heading to Qatar is to stay healthy, so we expect a conservative match from both teams, who have little to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panama in this match.

Result
PanamaDrawCanada
38.38%28.61%33%
Both teams to score 45.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.33%60.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26%80.74%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16%66.84%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.38%
    Canada 33%
    Draw 28.61%
PanamaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 5-1 Panama
Monday, March 28 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 1-1 Honduras
Friday, March 25 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Thursday, February 3 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Jamaica
Sunday, January 30 at 10.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-0 Panama
Friday, January 28 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Panama
Sunday, January 16 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-0 Jamaica
Sunday, March 27 at 9.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-0 Canada
Friday, March 25 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: El Salvador 0-2 Canada
Thursday, February 3 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Canada 2-0 USA
Sunday, January 30 at 8.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 Canada
Friday, January 28 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Mexico
Wednesday, November 17 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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