Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Suriname win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
Result | ||
Suriname | Draw | Mexico |
14.68% ( -0.06) | 21.32% ( 0.15) | 63.99% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.48% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% ( -0.74) | 49.28% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( -0.67) | 71.33% ( 0.66) |
Suriname Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.5% ( -0.53) | 45.49% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.67% ( -0.42) | 81.32% ( 0.42) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% ( -0.28) | 14.72% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.07% ( -0.52) | 42.92% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Suriname | Draw | Mexico |
1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.68% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 63.99% |
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