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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 24, 2023 at 12am UK
 
MN

Suriname
0 - 2
Mexico


Vlijter (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vasquez (64'), Dankerlui (82' og.)
Uriel (31'), Sanchez (66')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Suriname and Mexico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Suriname win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
SurinameDrawMexico
14.68% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 21.32% (0.154 0.15) 63.99% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.48% (-0.60100000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.741 -0.74)49.28% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.671 -0.67)71.33% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (-0.531 -0.53)45.49% (0.525 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.423 -0.42)81.32% (0.41799999999999 0.42)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.276 -0.28)14.72% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.523 -0.52)42.92% (0.516 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Suriname 14.68%
    Mexico 63.99%
    Draw 21.31%
SurinameDrawMexico
1-0 @ 5.28% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 3.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.68%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.31%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 7.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 63.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Thailand 1-0 Suriname
Sunday, March 27 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Guyana
Tuesday, February 1 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies


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