CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 1.45am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Lom (48')
Samayoa (44'), Ardon (75'), Saravia (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paradela (31'), Perez (56'), Hernandez (64'), Piedra (85'), Cavafe (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

Cuba

All competitions

Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 21 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

We said: Guatemala 0-0 Cuba

These two sides are well drilled and built to defend, while they both excel along the backline, but they are each a little thin regarding chance creators. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
67.27% ( 0.11)	19.79% ( -0.06)	12.94% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

0.14)

46.54% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

0.13)

68.81% (

-0.13)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13% (

0.08)

12.87% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74% (

0.15)

39.26% (

-0.15)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.56%

46.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.94% (

82.06%

Score Analysis

Guatemala 67.26%

Cuba 12.94%

Draw 19.79%

Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 67.26%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.94%