SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Bermuda |
74.27% ( 2.86) | 14.63% ( -0.99) | 11.1% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -2.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.14) | 26.37% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.18) | 46.69% ( 0.19) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.95% ( 0.48) | 6.05% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.98% ( 1.31) | 23.02% ( -1.31) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( -2.89) | 35.8% ( 2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -3.09) | 72.58% ( 3.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.69)1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.29)5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.21)5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.23)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.29% Total : 74.27% | 1-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.29% Total : 14.63% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.1% |
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