SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 85.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 3.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.53%) and 0-4 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-0 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grenada | Draw | USA |
3.99% ( -0.07) | 10.22% ( -0.11) | 85.79% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 37.35% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.15) | 33.79% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.37% ( 0.17) | 55.63% ( -0.16) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.51% ( -0.23) | 60.49% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.1% ( -0.11) | 90.9% ( 0.12) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.53% ( 0.06) | 5.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.65% ( 0.18) | 21.35% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grenada | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.11% Total : 3.99% | 1-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 10.22% | 0-2 @ 13.96% 0-3 @ 13.53% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 9.83% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 5.72% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.94% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-7 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 85.79% |
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