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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | USA |
34.28% ( -0.05) | 26.37% ( -0.03) | 39.34% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.12) | 51.95% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.1) | 73.7% ( -0.1) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.03) | 28.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( 0.04) | 64.69% ( -0.04) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.1) | 25.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( 0.13) | 60.86% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.34% |
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