SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Grenada |
66.91% ( -0.03) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 9.55% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 28.38% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.91% ( 0.04) | 66.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.36% ( 0.03) | 84.64% ( -0.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0) | 19.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.21% ( 0.01) | 51.79% ( -0) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.08) | 64.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.16% ( 0.03) | 92.84% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Grenada |
| 1-0 @ 20.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 16.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 66.91% | 0-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 9.55% |
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