Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Wales | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Iran | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for USA had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
England | Draw | USA |
44.11% ( 1.04) | 25.88% ( -0.72) | 30.01% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 52.82% ( 2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( 2.77) | 51.18% ( -2.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( 2.37) | 73.02% ( -2.38) |
England Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( 1.73) | 23.11% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.03% ( 2.47) | 56.96% ( -2.47) |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( 1.19) | 31.3% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( 1.37) | 67.66% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
England | Draw | USA |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.01% |
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