SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Wales |
58.33% ( 14.47) | 23.61% ( -1.86) | 18.05% ( -12.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( -7.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -3.62) | 52.8% ( 3.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( -3.18) | 74.42% ( 3.18) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( 4.5) | 17.86% ( -4.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.37% ( 7.24) | 48.62% ( -7.24) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.8% ( -13.37) | 43.19% ( 13.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.54% ( -13.55) | 79.45% ( 13.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 3.29) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 3.96)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.56)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 2.84)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 1)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 1.43)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.56)Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.32% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 1.04)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -1.44)Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -2.63)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -2.16)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -1.64)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -1.08)Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.05% |
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