Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 2 | 4 | 4 |
2 | Iran | 2 | -2 | 3 |
3 | USA | 2 | 0 | 2 |
4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Iran had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Iran win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match.
Result | ||
Iran | Draw | USA |
27.03% (![]() | 26.09% (![]() | 46.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% (![]() | 75.07% (![]() |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% (![]() | 22.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% (![]() | 56.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Iran | Draw | USA |
1-0 @ 8.39% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.88% |
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