SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Iran | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | USA | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Iran had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Iran win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | USA |
27.03% ( 0.01) | 26.09% ( 0.01) | 46.88% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.43% ( -0.04) | 53.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.92% ( -0.03) | 75.07% ( 0.03) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.01) | 34.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( -0.02) | 71.56% ( 0.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.03) | 22.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.04) | 56.55% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.88% |
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