Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
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