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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Vale Farm Stadium
HN

Qatar
1 - 1
Honduras

Al-Abdullah (7')
Al Bayati (20'), Fathy (50'), Al-Rawi (52'), Barsham (82')
Abdel Razaq (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elis (90+6')
Rosales (45+1'), Alvarez (56')
Castillo (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico143
2Haiti113
3Qatar1-10
4Honduras1-40
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico143
2Haiti113
3Qatar1-10
4Honduras1-40

We said: Qatar 2-0 Honduras

Both of these teams looked vulnerable defensively in their opening match, but Qatar have much more continuity and depth to call upon than Honduras, who are still going through a transitional period and figuring out their identity. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawHonduras
39.21% (-2.178 -2.18) 29.56% (0.214 0.21) 31.23% (1.963 1.96)
Both teams to score 42.79% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.92% (-0.174 -0.17)64.08% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76% (-0.123 -0.12)83.24% (0.124 0.12)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-1.375 -1.38)31.83% (1.375 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-1.606 -1.61)68.27% (1.605 1.61)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (1.43 1.43)37.23% (-1.43 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (1.384 1.38)74.02% (-1.383 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 39.21%
    Honduras 31.22%
    Draw 29.55%
QatarDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.557 -0.56)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.55%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.467 0.47)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.178 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 31.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Honduras
Thursday, October 27 at 4.59pm in International Friendlies


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