SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Haiti | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Honduras | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Honduras |
39.21% ( -2.18) | 29.56% ( 0.21) | 31.23% ( 1.96) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.17) | 64.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.76% ( -0.12) | 83.24% ( 0.12) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -1.38) | 31.83% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( -1.61) | 68.27% ( 1.61) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.77% ( 1.43) | 37.23% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( 1.38) | 74.02% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.56)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.55% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.78% Total : 31.22% |
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