SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Honduras | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 74.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.64%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.14%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
74.84% ( 0.13) | 17.9% ( -0.13) | 7.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 32.32% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.47) | 54.18% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.39) | 75.59% ( -0.38) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.18) | 12.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.57% ( 0.36) | 39.43% ( -0.36) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.13% ( 0.28) | 62.87% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.95% ( 0.13) | 92.05% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 2-0 @ 17% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 16.64% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 74.82% | 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.91% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.26% |
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