SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Haiti | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Honduras | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Haiti |
43.82% ( -0.17) | 25.37% ( 0.05) | 30.81% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.17) | 48.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.15) | 70.81% ( 0.15) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.15) | 22.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( -0.23) | 55.59% ( 0.23) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0) | 29.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0) | 65.49% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Haiti |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.81% |
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