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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.10am UK
The National Stadium
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Jamaica
1 - 0
Honduras

Gray (64')
Reid (68'), Latibeaudiere (68'), Gray (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Acosta (29'), Vega (38'), Maldonado (39'), Rodriguez (72'), Zapata (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, September 3 at 11pm in International Friendlies

We said: Jamaica 2-0 Honduras

It is difficult to envision the Jamaican unbeaten run in this competition ending against a side who are going through a rebuilding process, and the experience and overall quality of the Reggae Boyz should propel them to a comfortable victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
JamaicaDrawHonduras
55.97% (0.319 0.32) 25.39% (-0.151 -0.15) 18.64% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 42.87% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6% (0.325 0.32)58.4% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21% (0.254 0.25)79% (-0.25399999999999 -0.25)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (0.26100000000001 0.26)20.92% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (0.409 0.41)53.65% (-0.409 -0.41)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.79% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)81.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 55.96%
    Honduras 18.64%
    Draw 25.38%
JamaicaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 14.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 18.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 4-1 Trin. & Tob.
Thursday, June 29 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 25 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Jordan
Monday, June 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, September 3 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Haiti
Monday, July 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Honduras
Friday, June 30 at 12.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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