SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
55.97% ( 0.32) | 25.39% ( -0.15) | 18.64% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.6% ( 0.32) | 58.4% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( 0.25) | 79% ( -0.25) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0.26) | 20.92% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( 0.41) | 53.65% ( -0.41) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( -0.01) | 45.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.45% ( -0) | 81.55% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 14.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
