SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
43.05% ( -0.31) | 26.94% ( 0.08) | 30.01% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( -0.21) | 55.36% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -0.17) | 76.56% ( 0.17) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.25) | 25.47% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.35) | 60.31% ( 0.35) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.06) | 33.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( 0.06) | 70.1% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.01% |
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