SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
| 42.67% | 27.11% | 30.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% | 55.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.04% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.22% |
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