SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Martin | Draw | Anguilla |
52.06% ( -0.09) | 23.96% ( 0.02) | 23.98% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( -0.05) | 47.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( -0.05) | 69.52% ( 0.05) |
| Saint Martin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.05) | 18.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( -0.09) | 49.12% ( 0.09) |
| Anguilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.02) | 34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 0.03) | 70.68% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Martin | Draw | Anguilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 23.98% |
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