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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 21, 2023 at 12am UK
Hasely Crawford Stadium
UN
Trin. & Tob.
2 - 1
USA
Moore (43'), Jones (57')
Moore (77'), Muckette (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Robinson (25')
Dest (39'), Scally (79'), Balogun (83')
Dest (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Trinidad and Tobago 0-4 USA (USA advances on aggregate)

Field conditions in the Caribbean seem to give the home teams an edge, but expect the Americans to be more determined to make a statement after struggling for so long in the opening match of this tie. If Trinidad want to advance into the next round, they have to be a lot more aggressive and take chances, which plays right into the Americans' hands as they have plenty of speed and deadly attacking players who thrive in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Trinidad and TobagoDrawUSA
22.72% (0.175 0.18) 23.38% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 53.91% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.4% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)46.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.64% (0.022000000000002 0.02)68.37% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Trinidad and Tobago Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.17500000000001 0.18)34.45% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (0.185 0.19)71.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)17.01% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.122 -0.12)47.14% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Trinidad and Tobago 22.72%
    USA 53.91%
    Draw 23.38%
Trinidad and TobagoDrawUSA
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.72%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 5-3 Trin. & Tob.
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-2 Guatemala
Saturday, October 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 2-3 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, September 11 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Curacao
Thursday, September 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 6-0 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 4-0 Oman
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 3-0 Uzbekistan
Saturday, September 9 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
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