SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Ghana |
58.33% ( 0.32) | 23.79% ( 0.06) | 17.88% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.72) | 53.68% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.62) | 75.17% ( 0.62) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( -0.15) | 18.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( -0.26) | 49.18% ( 0.26) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.88) | 43.92% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.94% ( -0.73) | 80.05% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.33% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.88% |
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