SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Germany |
41.06% ( -0.01) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 34.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.29) | 43.7% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( -0.29) | 66.09% ( 0.29) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.13) | 21.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( -0.2) | 54.32% ( 0.21) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.17) | 24.79% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( -0.23) | 59.37% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.43% |
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