SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
78.84% ( -0.97) | 14.23% ( 0.35) | 6.94% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( 2.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.99) | 39.69% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( 1.02) | 62.04% ( -1.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.01) | 8.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.51% ( 0.02) | 28.49% ( -0.02) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.58% ( 2.49) | 54.42% ( -2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.47% ( 1.46) | 87.53% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 2-0 @ 13.92% ( -0.64) 3-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.53)1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.51)2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.22)6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 78.83% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.23% | 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.94% |
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